Index Workshop Paris, 21-25 June 2004, Summary and Proceedings

Location : France – Annual Meeting of the IEA
Jointly organized by EMF/IEA/IIASA/ETSAP
21-25 June 2004 Paris

Regular ETSAP Spring Meeting
Monday – 21 June 2004

ETSAP Tools

GianCarlo Tosato:  Introduction

Dolf Gielen: MARKAL-ETP: present structure of the model and database
proposals for improvement of the tools

Richard Loulou, Gary Goldstein, Ken Noble: Presentation of the new MARKAL documentation

Gary Goldstein, Ken Noble: MARKAL-ANSWER: updates, SW versions, installation

Dan Loughlin, US-EPA: Exploring near equilibrium solutions: the MARKAL MGA algorithm and its use

Amit Kanudia, Kathleen Vaillancourt, Richard Loulou:  The VEDA Front End: status of the Data Base and Templates approach
The VEDA back-end: new reporting capabilities

Uwe Remme, Antti Lehtila, Gary Goldstein: The TIMES model generator: status of the code

Richard Loulou, Uwe Remme, Antti Lehtila, Gary Goldstein, Amit Kanudia, Kathleen Vaillancourt: Proposed outline of VEDA-TIMES documentation

Leonardo Barreto, Peter Rafai, Socrates Kypreos, PSI-CH: Marginal abatement curves in the energy systems GMM model

Sanna Syri, Antti Lehtila, I. Savoliainen, VTT Process: Multi-gas GHG mitigation scenarios for Finland – diversified energy supply with reduced air pollution

John Conti, US-EIA: SAGE project: recent developments and results

Tom Alfstad, Mark Howells, Energy Research Center, Cape Town University, SA: Recent energy systems analysis activities

Norma Anglani, G. Petrecca, A. Signoriello, Dept. of Electrical Engineering, Uni.Pavia, ITALY:  Local Energy Planning: How to get started with MARKAL while serving the community and interconnecting University’s expertise with the territory

Joint IEA Meeting
Tuesday – 22 June 2004

Opening and Welcome Address:
Claude Mandil - IEA Executive Director
Fatih Birol, Alan Manne, John Weyant, GianCarlo Tosato, Leo Schrattenholzer

PLENARY SESSION I
CHAIRPERSON: Alan Manne

Fatih Birol : World Energy Outlook: Challenges for Energy Modellers

Leo Schrattenholzer: A Roadmap to a Sustainable Global Energy System

Peter Odell: Why Carbon Fuels will Dominate the 21st Century's Global Energy Economy

Joseph Aldy: Thirteen Plus One: A Comparison of Global Climate Policy Architectures

Tuesday Afternoon - 22 June 2004

Dolf J. Gielen, Niclas Mattsson, Fridtjof Unander : Technology Learning in the ETP Model

Socrates Kypreos : Impacts on RD&D on Carbon Mitigation Cost
Paper - Presentation

Mark Howells : Modeling Multiple Goals: GHG Mitigation and Socio-economic Development

John Lee, Edward Linky, Owen Carroll : A Portfolio Approach in Local Energy Planning and Building Upgrades: The Case of New York

F. Pietrapertosa, C. Cosmi, M. Macchiato, G. Marmo, M. Salvia : Life Cycle Assessment and Comprehensive Analysis for an Integrated Evaluation of Environmental Impact of Anthropogenic Activities

Wednasday 23 June 2004
PLENARY SESSION II

Energy Modeling Forum (EMF) Study
CHAIRPERSON: John Weyant

Geoffrey Blanford, Francisco De la Chesnaye, Casey Delhotal, John Weyant: EMF 21 Study: Multi-Gas Mitigation and Climate Change
Presentation 1 - Presentation 2

John Weyant: EMF 22: Climate Policy Scenarios in the Long Run and in Transition

Hillard Huntington: EMF 23: World Natural Gas Markets and Trade

Jean Laherrere: Natural gas supply future
Paper - Presentation

Shunsuke Mori: Project Phoenix - Integrated Assessment of Global Warming Impacts, Mitigation and Adaptation with Multi-region and Multi-sector Model and Scenario Development
Paper - Presentation

Wednasday Afternoon 23 June 2004

Domenico Rossetti Di Valdalbero : European Energy Socio-economic Research

Amit Kanudia, Kathleen Vaillancourt, Richard Loulou, GianCarlo Tosato: Long-term Energy-emission Scenarios with the World-TIMES Model

S. Syri, A. Lehtilä, I. Savolainen: Multi-gas GHG Mitigation Scenarios for Finland Diversified Energy Supply with Reduced Air Pollution

Markus Blesl, Uwe Remme, Ulrich Fahl: European Electricity Market between Liberalisation and Climate Protection

Sebastian Briem, Ulrich Fahl, Markus Blesl, Ingo Ellersdorfer, Uwe Remme: The Modelling Experiment IV of the German Energy Modelling Forum

Peter Read: Addressing the Policy Implications of Potential Abrupt Climate Change induced by Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Thursday – 24 June 2004
PLENARY SESSION III
CHAIRPERSON: Leo Schrattenholzer

William Nordhaus : The Outlook for Energy Three Decades After the Energy Crisis
Paper - Presentation

Fridtjof Unander : Oil Crises and Climate Challenges: 30 Years of Energy Use in IEA Countries

Nebojsa Nakicenovic : Long-term Drivers of Climate Change


Alan Manne: MERGE: An Integrated Assessment for Global Climate Change
Paper - Presentation

Soichiro Seki: Developing a Future Regime beyond the Kyoto Protocol: Bottom-up Approach

Thursday Afternoon 23 June 2004

Joshua M. Bushinsky, Mark I. Howells, David G. Victor, Thomas Alfstad: Demand Supply: The South African Electricity Sector

Koen Smekens: The Role and Impact of CO2 Capture and Sequestration in Long Term Energy Scenarios

Christian G. Eherer, Martin Baumann, Jörg Düweke, Thomas Hamacher: Nuclear Fusion as a New Energy Technology in a Single-Regional TIMES Model of the Global Energy System

Casey Dehotal, Pat Delaquil, ary Goldstein: Modeling Methane and Deriving Mitigation Cost Curves in US-EPA MARKAL
Paper - Presentation

Maryse Labriet, Richard Loulou, Amit Kanudia: Integrated MARKAL Modeling of World Cooperative and Non-cooperative CO2 Mitigation Strategies

Olev Liik, Mati Valdma, Matti Keel, Heiki Tammoja: Optimisation of Electricity Production Capacity under Uncertainty
Paper - Presentation

Daniel H. Loughlin: Generation and Analysis of Alternative Technological Scenarios Using MARKAL-MGA: Application in the Transportation Sector

Uwe Remme: Future Role of Renewable Energy in Germany against the Background of Climate Change Mitigation and Liberalization

Federico Santi: Small-size Nuclear Power Plants Inherently Safe: A Short-term Technology Option for the Future of Nuclear Energy

Regular ETSAP Spring Meeting
Friday – 25 June 2004

Morning Session

ETSAP Executive Committee Meeting (restricted to Delegates and invited representatives)
(Draft Agenda and Annexes circulated separately)

Afternoon Session (Completion of pending sessions / discussions)

EFDA project: discussion of the second progress report
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