Following an invitation from the Turkish representative in ETSAP, RETRU - Kocaeli University, the final Workshop under Annex VI was held on the southern coast of Turkey. In parallel, IEA-Annex 33 on 'Advanced Local Energy Planning' held its meetings at the same location, offering the welcome opportunity of a joint one-day meeting on Monday, 26 October.

After the joint meeting with Annex 33, the regular semi-annual internal ETSAP workshop took place, focusing on developing more concrete plans for continuation after expiration of the current Annex VI at the end of this calendar year. A draft proposal for an Annex VII was finalized, focusing on issues arising from the Kyoto Protocol of December 1997 and anticipated follow-up activities and future ETSAP research and analysis to address these issues. Results of very relevant multi-country analytical approaches and applications were presented and discussed to guide future activities in support of multi-lateral climate response strategies. A second line of research pursued in recent years addresses models with endogenized learning of technologies, illustrated by examples from ongoing work in the EU project TEEM, in which several ETSAP members participate.

In the preceding week the ETSAP technical model working group had met at IER Stuttgart to continue its work on developing the next generation of energy systems analysis models TIMES (The Integrated MARKAL/EFOM System). Progress reported indicates that, provided sufficient resources can be secured, TIMES can be developed into an operational package for distribution to other users by the end of Annex VII (for more detailed information on TIMES visit the ETSAP internet site or go directly to: TIMES.

The ETSAP meetings were concluded with the Executive Committee meeting on October 29. In addition to adopting a plan for development of a new Annex VII, supported by the vast majority of active participants in Annex VI, the committee decided in principle on a set of rules and guidelines for distribution of ETSAP software. These include contributions by non- ETSAP users into an R&D Fund aimed to raise additional resources for ongoing research on methodologies and tools.

GianCarlo TOSATO
ETSAP Project Head
EFDA/ CSU, IPP, Max-Plank-Institut
Boltzmannstr.2, D-85748 Garching Bei Muenchen
Germany
Phone: +(4989)3299-4194
fax. +(4989)3299-4197
e-mail: http://www.etsap.org/worksh6/gct@etsap.org

Papers presented

• Costs to New York of Reducing Emissions of Greenhouse Gases
  Douglas Hill
• Update on ETSAP activities since May 1998: Data Review and WWW
  Tom Kram, Ad Seebregts
• Partial and General Equilibrium Versions of Markal Models with Multi-Regional Trade: Model Specifications and Applications
  Socrates Kypreos
  Full paper available (PDF format, 622 kB)
• ANSWER-MARKAL Update
  Gary Goldstein
• The Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System - TIMES
  Gary Goldstein
• ANSWER-MARKAL, Presentation of Most Recent Enhancements
  Ken Noble
• The Xtractor - A Tool for managing GAMS Sets and Parameters
  Thomas Steidle
• Optimisation of Investments for the Belgian Energy System under Uncertainty, using Stochastic MARKAL
  Joris Aertsens
• Long-Term Energy and CO2 Emission Scenarios for Japan
  Osamu Sato
• Exploring Technology Dynamics with MARKAL for the EU-TEEM Project
  Tom Kram, Ad Seebregts
• A Simple Global Electricity MARKAL Model with Endogenous Learning
  Socrates Kypreos
  Full paper available (PDF format, 417 kB)
• Socio-Economic Aspects of Fusion: a Very Long-Term Application of MARKAL/Europe
  Tom Kram, Ad Seebregts
• Combining Optimization and Econometrical Modelling Techniques - Experiences from the Euro-Arab Dialogue Model
  Jan Duerinck